Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

301.66 – 370.78

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

245 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 732.8 ±9.8

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 76.59Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 155.48Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 69.59Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 735.7 ±9.8

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 211.6Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 127.07Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2718Team OKC e'possums (Σ 1/n! x 10³)

Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 32.11Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2530, 5847, 1538

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.7 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2530, 5847, 1538

Auto

75.3 25%

Teleop

185.3 62%

Endgame

39.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 316, 1939, 2718

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.8 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 316, 1939, 2718

Auto

87.6 24%

Teleop

177.8 49%

Endgame

97.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score301.7pts

Blue projected score370.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.1
Score range: 231–442
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 392.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

732.8Season APEX735.7

75.3Auto87.6

185.3Teleop177.8

39Endgame97.5

130Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	114
teleop	98	205
endgame	64	89
foul	0	20
total	245	428

Result

Final score

245 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.