Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

389.69 – 453.85

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

276 – 566

Prediction correct · off by 112.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 636.4 ±13.1

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 163.7Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 156.41Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 69.58Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 715.9 ±9.3

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 64.64Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 198.24Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 190.97Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3339, 5534, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.7 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 3339, 5534, 1741

Auto

99.6 26%

Teleop

166.8 43%

Endgame

119.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6696, 272, 6941

/ 100 compat

Projected

453.9 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 6696, 272, 6941

Auto

74.5 17%

Teleop

284.2 64%

Endgame

83.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score389.7pts

Blue projected score453.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.2
Score range: 320–524
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 842 vs event baseline 391.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

636.4Season APEX715.9

99.6Auto74.5

166.8Teleop284.2

119Endgame83.4

208Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	84
teleop	120	330
endgame	103	122
foul	5	30
total	276	566

Result

Final score

276 – 566

Prediction correct · off by 112.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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