Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

543.1 – 384.88

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

509 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 785.8 ±9.9

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 406.35Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 110.75Rank 39Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 26Rank 51Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561.7 ±9.3

7712ACCN UMOJA

Season APEX 183Event APEX 79.21Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 128.81Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 176.86Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4414, 8724, 3880

/ 100 compat

Projected

543.1 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 4414, 8724, 3880

Auto

95.2 18%

Teleop

280.8 52%

Endgame

167.6 31%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7712, 999, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.9 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 7712, 999, 1156

Auto

69.0 18%

Teleop

226.8 61%

Endgame

77.9 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score543.1pts

Blue projected score384.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158.2
Score range: 314–614
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 842 vs event baseline 393.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

785.8Season APEX561.7

95.2Auto69

280.8Teleop226.8

167.6Endgame77.9

166Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	73
teleop	267	175
endgame	111	70
foul	20	15
total	509	333

Result

Final score

509 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 43 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.