Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

423.06 – 412.84

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

525 – 470

Prediction correct · off by 79.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 728.5 ±9.8

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 160.96Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 121.48Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 140.62Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635 ±10.5

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 77.54Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 121.07Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4678CyberCavs

A+

Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 214.23Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6941, 1939, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

423.1 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 6941, 1939, 1058

Auto

97.3 22%

Teleop

235.5 54%

Endgame

104.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3646, 2399, 4678

/ 100 compat

Projected

412.8 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3646, 2399, 4678

Auto

70.3 17%

Teleop

204.2 51%

Endgame

127.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score423.1pts

Blue projected score412.8pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 10.2
Score range: 340–496
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 995 vs event baseline 407.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

728.5Season APEX635

97.3Auto70.3

235.5Teleop204.2

104.6Endgame127.6

100Consistency125

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	100
teleop	283	237
endgame	134	128
foul	5	5
total	525	470

Result

Final score

525 – 470

Prediction correct · off by 79.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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