Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

270.15 – 498.31

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

358 – 402

Prediction correct · off by 92.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 704.2 ±10.7

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 86.72Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 64.9Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 118.53Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 667.1 ±9.8

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 119.17Rank 38Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 226.43Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 152.71Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9094, 10002, 5937

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.2 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 9094, 10002, 5937

Auto

40.9 15%

Teleop

121.9 44%

Endgame

111.9 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2429, 6017, 10213

/ 100 compat

Projected

498.3 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2429, 6017, 10213

Auto

94.9 20%

Teleop

264.7 55%

Endgame

123.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score270.2pts

Blue projected score498.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.2
Score range: 200–568
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 760 vs event baseline 391.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

704.2Season APEX667.1

40.9Auto94.9

121.9Teleop264.7

111.9Endgame123.9

208Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	72
teleop	206	189
endgame	75	121
foul	0	20
total	358	402

Result

Final score

358 – 402

Prediction correct · off by 92.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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