Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

276.33 – 299.31

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

206 – 514

Prediction correct · off by 142.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.6 ±8.7

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 59.07Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 26.06Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 191.2Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 701.3 ±9.8

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 30.14Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 131.23Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 137.94Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 10619, 3656

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.3 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 1741, 10619, 3656

Auto

83.5 34%

Teleop

112.4 45%

Endgame

51.3 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11178, 7520, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.3 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 11178, 7520, 340

Auto

77.8 26%

Teleop

171.8 57%

Endgame

53.3 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score276.3pts

Blue projected score299.3pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23
Score range: 205–370
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 720 vs event baseline 392.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.6Season APEX701.3

83.5Auto77.8

112.4Teleop171.8

51.3Endgame53.3

137Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	93
teleop	129	262
endgame	13	159
foul	20	0
total	206	514

Result

Final score

206 – 514

Prediction correct · off by 142.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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