Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

203.19 – 368.34

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

372 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607.7 ±10.5

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 77.87Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 10.18Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 115.14Rank 70Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 582.6 ±10.4

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 151.67Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 116.12Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 100.55Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8393, 5557, 4065

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.2 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 8393, 5557, 4065

Auto

53.0 27%

Teleop

78.8 40%

Endgame

66.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2472, 1880, 1939

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.3 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2472, 1880, 1939

Auto

64.2 18%

Teleop

154.8 43%

Endgame

138.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score203.2pts

Blue projected score368.3pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -165.1
Score range: 133–438
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 773 vs event baseline 387.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607.7Season APEX582.6

53Auto64.2

78.8Teleop154.8

66.4Endgame138.4

178Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	81
teleop	195	265
endgame	122	30
foul	5	25
total	372	401

Result

Final score

372 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 100.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.