Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
362.08 – 240.65
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
599 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 149.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 855.7 ±8.7
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 88.01Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 207.2Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 66.87Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 597.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 145.5Event APEX -41.81Rank 74Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 132.81Rank 39Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 149.65Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6919, 1323, 4188
63
/ 100 compatProjected
362.1 pts
~2.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 6919, 1323, 4188
Auto
49.0 13%
Teleop
183.8 50%
Endgame
135.8 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 33%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10229, 8724, 11141
57
/ 100 compatProjected
240.7 pts
~0.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 10229, 8724, 11141
Auto
40.7 17%
Teleop
130.2 56%
Endgame
63.3 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 33%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score362.1pts
Blue projected score240.7pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 121.4
- Score range
- 172–431
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
855.7Season APEX597.9
49Auto40.7
183.8Teleop130.2
135.8Endgame63.3
128Consistency210
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 119 | 46 |
| teleop | 324 | 119 |
| endgame | 156 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 599 | 179 |
Result
Final score
599 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 149.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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