Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

359.39 – 454.45

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

301 – 253

Prediction missed · off by 129.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509 ±9.3

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 139.4Rank 23Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 133.88Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 86.11Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 562.2 ±11.2

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 115.41Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 154.42Rank 70Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 184.62Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1720, 5534, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

359.4 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 1720, 5534, 1155

Auto

79.1 22%

Teleop

184.9 52%

Endgame

94.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10002, 4065, 999

/ 100 compat

Projected

454.5 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 10002, 4065, 999

Auto

62.8 14%

Teleop

254.6 58%

Endgame

119.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score359.4pts

Blue projected score454.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.1
Score range: 289–524
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 554 vs event baseline 389.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509Season APEX562.2

79.1Auto62.8

184.9Teleop254.6

94.7Endgame119.9

183Consistency173

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	36
teleop	159	116
endgame	87	86
foul	0	15
total	301	253

Result

Final score

301 – 253

Prediction missed · off by 129.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.