Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

818.87 – 378.25

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

789 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1018.7 ±8.8

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 232.97Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 170.77Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 415.13Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 632.9 ±9.8

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 85.3Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 182.25Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 110.7Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 4028, 4414

/ 100 compat

Projected

818.9 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 1325, 4028, 4414

Auto

158.9 19%

Teleop

463.2 56%

Endgame

211.9 25%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1880, 340, 624

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.3 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1880, 340, 624

Auto

82.8 22%

Teleop

222.9 60%

Endgame

67.8 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.97 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score818.9pts

Blue projected score378.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 440.6
Score range: 305–892
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1075 vs event baseline 407.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1018.7Season APEX632.9

158.9Auto82.8

463.2Teleop222.9

211.9Endgame67.8

70Consistency172

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	175	38
teleop	430	176
endgame	184	67
foul	0	5
total	789	286

Result

Final score

789 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 61.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.