Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

342.32 – 290.72

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

372 – 452

Prediction missed · off by 95.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.7 ±9.8

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 70.52Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 167.45Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6391Ursuline Bearbotics

Season APEX 180Event APEX 104.35Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 731.4 ±8.7

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 108.04Rank 39Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 45.52Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 137.16Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7520, 5847, 6391

/ 100 compat

Projected

342.3 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 7520, 5847, 6391

Auto

59.2 17%

Teleop

219.6 62%

Endgame

74.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8724, 3314, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.7 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 8724, 3314, 1156

Auto

55.1 19%

Teleop

129.8 44%

Endgame

108.2 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score342.3pts

Blue projected score290.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.6
Score range: 219–414
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 824 vs event baseline 397.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

668.7Season APEX731.4

59.2Auto55.1

219.6Teleop129.8

74.6Endgame108.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	79
teleop	217	267
endgame	93	106
foul	0	0
total	372	452

Result

Final score

372 – 452

Prediction missed · off by 95.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.