Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

504.19 – 262.11

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

417 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 93.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 668.3 ±9.8

7712ACCN UMOJA

Season APEX 183Event APEX 99.56Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6941IronPulse Robotics

Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 193.12Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 211.51Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 545.5 ±11

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 75.28Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 91.1Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3100The Lightning Turtles

Season APEX 216.5Event APEX 95.73Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7712, 6941, 10213

/ 100 compat

Projected

504.2 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 7712, 6941, 10213

Auto

76.1 16%

Teleop

286.0 59%

Endgame

126.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5550, 5557, 3100

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.1 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 5550, 5557, 3100

Auto

29.6 12%

Teleop

172.8 70%

Endgame

45.9 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score504.2pts

Blue projected score262.1pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 242.1
Score range: 190–576
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 579 vs event baseline 400.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

668.3Season APEX545.5

76.1Auto29.6

286Teleop172.8

126.2Endgame45.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	21
teleop	270	63
endgame	97	48
foul	0	30
total	417	162

Result

Final score

417 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 93.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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