Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

441.86 – 212.77

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

392 – 592

Prediction missed · off by 214.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 696.6 ±9.3

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 143.66Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 108.89Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 189.31Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 583.8 ±9.8

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 85.38Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 51.01Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11MORT

Season APEX 265.4Event APEX 76.38Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2883, 5937, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.9 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2883, 5937, 1676

Auto

75.7 17%

Teleop

252.9 57%

Endgame

113.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 999, 2472, 11

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.8 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 999, 2472, 11

Auto

22.6 11%

Teleop

133.5 66%

Endgame

45.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score441.9pts

Blue projected score212.8pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 229.1
Score range: 142–513
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 984 vs event baseline 397.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

696.6Season APEX583.8

75.7Auto22.6

252.9Teleop133.5

113.7Endgame45.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	78
teleop	164	318
endgame	154	151
foul	0	45
total	392	592

Result

Final score

392 – 592

Prediction missed · off by 214.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.