Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

425.41 – 262

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

702 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 153.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 927.9 ±9.3

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 168.97Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 144.63Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 111.81Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 587.4 ±11.7

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 104.34Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 81.31Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 76.35Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 1323, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.4 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 316, 1323, 7632

Auto

78.4 19%

Teleop

198.7 47%

Endgame

142.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1880, 8393, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

262 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1880, 8393, 10002

Auto

34.5 13%

Teleop

155.0 59%

Endgame

72.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score425.4pts

Blue projected score262pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163.4
Score range: 191–496
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 994 vs event baseline 393.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

927.9Season APEX587.4

78.4Auto34.5

198.7Teleop155

142.1Endgame72.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	61
teleop	352	128
endgame	224	88
foul	10	15
total	702	292

Result

Final score

702 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 153.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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