Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

422.07 – 552.39

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

648 – 430

Prediction missed · off by 174.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 810.5 ±9.3

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 142.89Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 132.8Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 146.38Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 650.1 ±9.8

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 164.58Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 126.26Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 261.55Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2338, 272, 2073

/ 100 compat

Projected

422.1 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2338, 272, 2073

Auto

51.6 12%

Teleop

264.4 63%

Endgame

105.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2399, 624, 3478

/ 100 compat

Projected

552.4 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 2399, 624, 3478

Auto

104.2 19%

Teleop

304.3 55%

Endgame

145.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.18 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score422.1pts

Blue projected score552.4pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.3
Score range: 352–622
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1078 vs event baseline 387.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

810.5Season APEX650.1

51.6Auto104.2

264.4Teleop304.3

105.4Endgame145.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	52
teleop	390	251
endgame	189	127
foul	5	0
total	648	430

Result

Final score

648 – 430

Prediction missed · off by 174.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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