Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

290.89 – 202.17

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 62.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 607.9 ±9.8

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 128.28Rank 23Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3100The Lightning Turtles

Season APEX 216.5Event APEX 71.39Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6391Ursuline Bearbotics

Season APEX 180Event APEX 91.22Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.4 ±9.3

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 100.82Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 26.2Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2718Team OKC e'possums (Σ 1/n! x 10³)

Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 75.15Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1720, 3100, 6391

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.9 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 1720, 3100, 6391

Auto

38.0 14%

Teleop

171.7 63%

Endgame

64.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 10619, 2718

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.2 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 6919, 10619, 2718

Auto

22.0 11%

Teleop

82.2 43%

Endgame

88.5 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score290.9pts

Blue projected score202.2pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.7
Score range: 130–363
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 492 vs event baseline 397.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

607.9Season APEX518.4

38Auto22

171.7Teleop82.2

64.9Endgame88.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	33
teleop	226	82
endgame	59	24
foul	15	0
total	353	139

Result

Final score

353 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 62.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.