Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
284.91 – 495.23
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
303 – 683
Prediction correct · off by 102.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 51.72Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 41.75Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250Event APEX 191.44Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 717.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 141.98Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 134.58Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 218.67Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10002, 1155, 469
55
/ 100 compatProjected
284.9 pts
~0.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 10002, 1155, 469
Auto
38.2 14%
Teleop
153.6 56%
Endgame
83.2 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1676, 5847, 3478
76
/ 100 compatProjected
495.2 pts
~2.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 1676, 5847, 3478
Auto
112.9 24%
Teleop
250.6 52%
Endgame
114.8 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score284.9pts
Blue projected score495.2pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 23%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -210.3
- Score range
- 212–568
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
566.6Season APEX717.5
38.2Auto112.9
153.6Teleop250.6
83.2Endgame114.8
156Consistency72
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 129 |
| teleop | 191 | 382 |
| endgame | 91 | 172 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 303 | 683 |
Result
Final score
303 – 683
Prediction correct · off by 102.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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