Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

336.47 – 259.86

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

396 – 482

Prediction missed · off by 140.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 631.2 ±10.4

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 112.76Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 122Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 101.71Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.5 ±11.2

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 100.86Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 101.05Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 57.95Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7632, 2883, 8393

/ 100 compat

Projected

336.5 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 7632, 2883, 8393

Auto

54.9 17%

Teleop

185.9 56%

Endgame

91.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6017, 6106, 624

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.9 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 6017, 6106, 624

Auto

36.2 15%

Teleop

146.8 60%

Endgame

61.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score336.5pts

Blue projected score259.9pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.6
Score range: 187–409
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 878 vs event baseline 403.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

631.2Season APEX635.5

54.9Auto36.2

185.9Teleop146.8

91.3Endgame61.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	83
teleop	236	264
endgame	57	135
foul	0	0
total	396	482

Result

Final score

396 – 482

Prediction missed · off by 140.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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