Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

298.85 – 158.12

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

416 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 126.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 839.2 ±10.7

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 125.43Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 59.71Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

176Aces High

Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 113.71Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 601.9 ±14.4

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX -9.08Rank 51Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 75.44Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 91.76Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2073, 6998, 176

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.9 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 2073, 6998, 176

Auto

55.2 19%

Teleop

152.6 52%

Endgame

85.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3880, 1880, 3339

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.1 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3880, 1880, 3339

Auto

43.4 28%

Teleop

67.7 44%

Endgame

41.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score298.9pts

Blue projected score158.1pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 140.7
Score range: 85–372
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 710 vs event baseline 406.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

839.2Season APEX601.9

55.2Auto43.4

152.6Teleop67.7

85.4Endgame41.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	52
teleop	214	152
endgame	118	90
foul	5	0
total	416	294

Result

Final score

416 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 126.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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