Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

482.88 – 256.85

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

779 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 154.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 874.3 ±9.3

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 124.86Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 208.02Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 150Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 585 ±11.7

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 86.57Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 50.57Rank 74Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 119.71Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 4414, 1939

/ 100 compat

Projected

482.9 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3656, 4414, 1939

Auto

105.4 22%

Teleop

256.7 54%

Endgame

114.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10002, 10229, 272

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 10002, 10229, 272

Auto

43.7 18%

Teleop

160.0 64%

Endgame

46.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score482.9pts

Blue projected score256.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 226
Score range: 185–555
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1049 vs event baseline 401.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

874.3Season APEX585

105.4Auto43.7

256.7Teleop160

114.2Endgame46

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	123	38
teleop	431	175
endgame	210	57
foul	15	0
total	779	270

Result

Final score

779 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 154.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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