Qualification · Qualification 124

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

485.17 – 533.46

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

550 – 561

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 810.7 ±9.3

4678CyberCavs

A+

Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 217.41Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2718Team OKC e'possums (Σ 1/n! x 10³)

Season APEX 192.4Event APEX 90.5Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 177.26Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 861.1 ±9.3

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 146.42Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 317.19Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 69.85Rank 38Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4678, 2718, 2073

/ 100 compat

Projected

485.2 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 4678, 2718, 2073

Auto

87.2 18%

Teleop

275.9 57%

Endgame

118.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2883, 1323, 2429

/ 100 compat

Projected

533.5 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2883, 1323, 2429

Auto

119.1 23%

Teleop

286.8 55%

Endgame

117.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.47 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score485.2pts

Blue projected score533.5pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.3
Score range: 415–603
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1111 vs event baseline 389.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

810.7Season APEX861.1

87.2Auto119.1

275.9Teleop286.8

118Endgame117.6

124Consistency145

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	135
teleop	247	288
endgame	173	138
foul	20	0
total	550	561

Result

Final score

550 – 561

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.