Qualification · Qualification 123

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

540.06 – 689.88

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

505 – 685

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 718.7 ±10.4

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 231.93Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 134.63Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 173.5Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 947.8 ±13.1

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 145.12Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 412.07Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 132.69Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3478, 2338, 6017

/ 100 compat

Projected

540.1 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 3478, 2338, 6017

Auto

89.7 17%

Teleop

305.1 58%

Endgame

132.5 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6919, 4414, 3339

/ 100 compat

Projected

689.9 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6919, 4414, 3339

Auto

110.8 16%

Teleop

365.1 53%

Endgame

209.4 31%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score540.1pts

Blue projected score689.9pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.8
Score range: 470–760
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1190 vs event baseline 387.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

718.7Season APEX947.8

89.7Auto110.8

305.1Teleop365.1

132.5Endgame209.4

99Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	126
teleop	319	398
endgame	69	151
foul	0	10
total	505	685

Result

Final score

505 – 685

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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