Qualification · Qualification 120

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

200.85 – 404.9

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

247 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.7 ±9.8

5534Onaway Onabots

Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 103.99Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 69.42Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 27.44Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 735.2 ±10.7

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 135.32Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 181.49Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 88.09Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5534, 999, 5550

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.9 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 5534, 999, 5550

Auto

47.5 24%

Teleop

99.3 51%

Endgame

47.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1058, 3656, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.9 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1058, 3656, 6998

Auto

91.8 23%

Teleop

218.0 56%

Endgame

81.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score200.9pts

Blue projected score404.9pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -204
Score range: 131–475
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 619 vs event baseline 389.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.7Season APEX735.2

47.5Auto91.8

99.3Teleop218

47.5Endgame81.3

98Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	85
teleop	114	249
endgame	83	38
foul	15	0
total	247	372

Result

Final score

247 – 372

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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