Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
203.5 – 203.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
302 – 301
Prediction correct · off by 98 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 639.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 192.4Event APEX -Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 252.9Event APEX -Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 193.9Event APEX -Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 598.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 256Event APEX -Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 178.5Event APEX -Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2718, 5937, 1727
50
/ 100 compatProjected
203.5 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 2718, 5937, 1727
Auto
61.1 30%
Teleop
101.8 50%
Endgame
40.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1156, 303, 1741
50
/ 100 compatProjected
203.5 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 1156, 303, 1741
Auto
61.1 30%
Teleop
101.8 50%
Endgame
40.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score203.5pts
Blue projected score203.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 131–277
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
639.2Season APEX598.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 53 | 81 |
| teleop | 152 | 175 |
| endgame | 92 | 45 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 302 | 301 |
Result
Final score
302 – 301
Prediction correct · off by 98 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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