Qualification · Qualification 115
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
358.19 – 238.91
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
332 – 382
Prediction missed · off by 84.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.7 ±8.7
Season APEX 93.5Event APEX -8.6Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 256Event APEX 163Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 203.79Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 41.03Rank 62Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 99.01Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 98.87Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10619, 1156, 272
58
/ 100 compatProjected
358.2 pts
~2.2 RP (championship)
Teams: 10619, 1156, 272
Auto
51.7 15%
Teleop
240.1 69%
Endgame
57.6 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3008, 8393, 6696
52
/ 100 compatProjected
238.9 pts
~0.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 3008, 8393, 6696
Auto
53.0 24%
Teleop
95.9 44%
Endgame
68.9 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score358.2pts
Blue projected score238.9pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 14%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 119.3
- Score range
- 169–428
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
593.7Season APEX528.8
51.7Auto53
240.1Teleop95.9
57.6Endgame68.9
108Consistency107
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 75 | 77 |
| teleop | 207 | 187 |
| endgame | 50 | 118 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 332 | 382 |
Result
Final score
332 – 382
Prediction missed · off by 84.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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