Qualification · Qualification 112
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
273.64 – 631.59
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
174 – 540
Prediction correct · off by 95.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 575.6 ±11
Season APEX 180Event APEX 82.35Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 141.53Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 49.76Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 826.8 ±8.7
Season APEX 176.3Event APEX 112.07Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 195.99Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 323.53Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6391, 2338, 5557
55
/ 100 compatProjected
273.6 pts
~0.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 6391, 2338, 5557
Auto
36.6 13%
Teleop
146.9 54%
Endgame
88.1 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5534, 3656, 1323
88
/ 100 compatProjected
631.6 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 5534, 3656, 1323
Auto
120.3 19%
Teleop
349.1 56%
Endgame
152.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score273.6pts
Blue projected score631.6pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 24%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -358
- Score range
- 204–702
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
575.6Season APEX826.8
36.6Auto120.3
146.9Teleop349.1
88.1Endgame152
154Consistency124
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 117 |
| teleop | 72 | 311 |
| endgame | 54 | 102 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 174 | 540 |
Result
Final score
174 – 540
Prediction correct · off by 95.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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