Qualification · Qualification 110

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

246.68 – 362.93

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

167 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 88.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 549.7 ±9.8

9175BrainMachine-FRC

Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 79.02Rank 31Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 82.77Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1727REX

Season APEX 193.9Event APEX 84.89Rank 69Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 625.6 ±9.8

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 38.6Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 190.73Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 133.6Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9175, 2530, 1727

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.7 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 9175, 2530, 1727

Auto

59.9 24%

Teleop

113.6 46%

Endgame

72.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5550, 6017, 1676

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.9 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 5550, 6017, 1676

Auto

58.3 16%

Teleop

197.2 55%

Endgame

104.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score246.7pts

Blue projected score362.9pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.2
Score range: 177–433
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 433 vs event baseline 391.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

549.7Season APEX625.6

59.9Auto58.3

113.6Teleop197.2

72Endgame104.1

162Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	88
teleop	88	148
endgame	31	30
foul	0	0
total	167	266

Result

Final score

167 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 88.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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