Qualification · Qualification 108
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
233.97 – 299.12
31%69%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
320 – 407
Prediction correct · off by 97 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 603 ±9.9
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 130.88Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 82.35Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 20.74Rank 74Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 700.4 ±8.7
Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 62.87Rank 38Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 138.42Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 97.83Rank 44Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1058, 4189, 10229
53
/ 100 compatProjected
234 pts
~1.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 1058, 4189, 10229
Auto
74.0 31%
Teleop
103.5 44%
Endgame
59.6 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2429, 3314, 972
58
/ 100 compatProjected
299.1 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 2429, 3314, 972
Auto
93.6 31%
Teleop
147.6 49%
Endgame
58.0 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score234pts
Blue projected score299.1pts
Red win probability31%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 19%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -65.1
- Score range
- 163–370
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
603Season APEX700.4
74Auto93.6
103.5Teleop147.6
59.6Endgame58
148Consistency109
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 112 | 66 |
| teleop | 158 | 179 |
| endgame | 45 | 102 |
| foul | 5 | 60 |
| total | 320 | 407 |
Result
Final score
320 – 407
Prediction correct · off by 97 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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