Qualification · Qualification 106

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

512.27 – 258.06

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 67.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.5 ±9.8

3478PrepaTec - LamBot

Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 234.93Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 113.38Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 163.96Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 591 ±11.7

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 190.76Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3008Team Magma

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 33.86Rank 62Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 33.44Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3478, 1880, 5937

/ 100 compat

Projected

512.3 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3478, 1880, 5937

Auto

100.4 20%

Teleop

273.6 54%

Endgame

133.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5813, 3008, 6106

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.1 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 5813, 3008, 6106

Auto

70.3 29%

Teleop

155.7 64%

Endgame

16.9 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score512.3pts

Blue projected score258.1pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 254.2
Score range: 187–583
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 723 vs event baseline 392.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

673.5Season APEX591

100.4Auto70.3

273.6Teleop155.7

133.1Endgame16.9

153Consistency148

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	35
teleop	246	186
endgame	77	81
foul	50	0
total	421	302

Result

Final score

421 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 67.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.