Qualification · Qualification 105

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

337.81 – 690.05

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

369 – 769

Prediction correct · off by 55.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 525 ±10.5

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 91.38Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 129.3Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 117.13Rank 23Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 885.4 ±9.8

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 145.17Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 134.19Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 410.69Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3646, 7632, 1720

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.8 pts

~0.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 3646, 7632, 1720

Auto

57.2 17%

Teleop

189.9 57%

Endgame

83.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5847, 10213, 4414

/ 100 compat

Projected

690.1 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 5847, 10213, 4414

Auto

116.3 17%

Teleop

382.5 56%

Endgame

182.4 27%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score337.8pts

Blue projected score690.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -352.2
Score range: 268–760
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1138 vs event baseline 390.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

525Season APEX885.4

57.2Auto116.3

189.9Teleop382.5

83.7Endgame182.4

125Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	137
teleop	156	432
endgame	143	185
foul	20	15
total	369	769

Result

Final score

369 – 769

Prediction correct · off by 55.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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