Qualification · Qualification 104

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

424.72 – 155.74

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

422 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 584.9 ±9.3

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 176.63Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX -7.65Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 255.74Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 553.5 ±10.5

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 83.79Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 39.91Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 32.04Rank 51Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2472, 10619, 3538

/ 100 compat

Projected

424.7 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 2472, 10619, 3538

Auto

58.3 15%

Teleop

268.5 67%

Endgame

74.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1538, 1155, 3880

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.7 pts

~0.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 1538, 1155, 3880

Auto

37.3 25%

Teleop

88.2 60%

Endgame

22.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score424.7pts

Blue projected score155.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 269
Score range: 85–496
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 610 vs event baseline 391.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

584.9Season APEX553.5

58.3Auto37.3

268.5Teleop88.2

74.1Endgame22.4

143Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	54
teleop	228	71
endgame	102	63
foul	15	0
total	422	188

Result

Final score

422 – 188

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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