Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

390.51 – 611.28

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

355 – 539

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 676.3 ±9.3

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 122.05Rank 12Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1676The Pascack PI-oneers

Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 135.56Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3314Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 132.9Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 792.5 ±9.3

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 70.31Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 207.13Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 333.84Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1939, 1676, 3314

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.5 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1939, 1676, 3314

Auto

87.4 23%

Teleop

184.5 48%

Endgame

112.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1741, 6017, 1323

/ 100 compat

Projected

611.3 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1741, 6017, 1323

Auto

111.2 19%

Teleop

319.8 53%

Endgame

167.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score390.5pts

Blue projected score611.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -220.8
Score range: 321–681
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 894 vs event baseline 389.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

676.3Season APEX792.5

87.4Auto111.2

184.5Teleop319.8

112.4Endgame167.5

68Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	118
teleop	189	319
endgame	66	87
foul	5	15
total	355	539

Result

Final score

355 – 539

Prediction correct · off by 53.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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