Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
211.86 – 211.86
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
209 – 427
Prediction missed · off by 109 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.2 ±10.7
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX -Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 183Event APEX -Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 93.5Event APEX -Rank 73Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 621.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 184.6Event APEX -Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX -Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.5Event APEX -Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6998, 7712, 10619
50
/ 100 compatProjected
211.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 6998, 7712, 10619
Auto
63.6 30%
Teleop
105.9 50%
Endgame
42.4 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2530, 4188, 2883
50
/ 100 compatProjected
211.9 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 2530, 4188, 2883
Auto
63.6 30%
Teleop
105.9 50%
Endgame
42.4 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score211.9pts
Blue projected score211.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 136–288
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
523.2Season APEX621.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 51 |
| teleop | 88 | 255 |
| endgame | 75 | 116 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 209 | 427 |
Result
Final score
209 – 427
Prediction missed · off by 109 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.