Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Curie Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

641.81 – 491.41

87%13%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

603 – 552

Prediction correct · off by 49.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 794.7 ±9.3
7028Binary Battalion
A
Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 204.75Rank 6Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5193Pantheon
A
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 249.81Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3197HexHounds
B
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 187.25Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 800.7 ±8.8
2637Phantom Catz
B
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 77.62Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
125NUTRONs
A+
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 282.15Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9609Paraducks
A
Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 131.64Rank 23Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7028, 5193, 3197
87
/ 100 compat
Projected
641.8 pts
~2.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 7028, 5193, 3197
Auto
144.7 23%
Teleop
358.6 56%
Endgame
134.7 21%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 21%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2637, 125, 9609
75
/ 100 compat
Projected
491.4 pts
~1.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 2637, 125, 9609
Auto
113.5 23%
Teleop
255.2 53%
Endgame
117.1 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 21%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score641.8pts
Blue projected score491.4pts
Red win probability87%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
150.4
Score range
415–718
Upset likelihood
13%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1155 vs event baseline 424.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

794.7Season APEX800.7
144.7Auto113.5
358.6Teleop255.2
134.7Endgame117.1
108Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto150153
teleop305322
endgame12377
foul250
total603552

Result

Final score

603 – 552

Prediction correct · off by 49.7 pts

Match videos

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