Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

669.25 – 657.72

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

423 – 413

Prediction correct · off by 245.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 879.4 ±8.1

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 274.08Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 116.97Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 278.2Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 923.2 ±13.5

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 229.22Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 171.2Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 257.3Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5907, 166, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

669.3 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 5907, 166, 6369

Auto

123.0 18%

Teleop

375.5 56%

Endgame

167.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5987, 4611, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

657.7 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 5987, 4611, 5460

Auto

132.0 20%

Teleop

355.2 55%

Endgame

160.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score669.3pts

Blue projected score657.7pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.5
Score range: 583–744
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 836 vs event baseline 416.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

879.4Season APEX923.2

123Auto132

375.5Teleop355.2

167.2Endgame160

123Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	160
teleop	228	166
endgame	94	72
foul	5	15
total	423	413

Result

Final score

423 – 413

Prediction correct · off by 245.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.