Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

640.28 – 744.24

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

689 – 778

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 879.4 ±8.1

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 266.4Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 106.15Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 267.73Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1116 ±9.9

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 149.11Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 293.41Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 301.72Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5907, 166, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

640.3 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 5907, 166, 6369

Auto

121.5 19%

Teleop

359.6 57%

Endgame

154.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8613, 6800, 254

/ 100 compat

Projected

744.2 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 8613, 6800, 254

Auto

146.1 20%

Teleop

421.4 57%

Endgame

169.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score640.3pts

Blue projected score744.2pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104
Score range: 563–821
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1467 vs event baseline 426.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

879.4Season APEX1116

121.5Auto146.1

359.6Teleop421.4

154.6Endgame169.1

103Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	185
teleop	367	462
endgame	200	126
foul	5	5
total	689	778

Result

Final score

689 – 778

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.