Qualification · Qualification 98

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

307.62 – 360.04

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 224

Prediction missed · off by 98.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 566.6 ±9.8

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 131.23Rank 62Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 123.08Rank 25Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 53.31Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 710.9 ±10.7

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 165.17Rank 51Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 168.26Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11304Meowbotics - Fresnillo PLC

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 26.61Rank 73Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6366, 6045, 9077

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.6 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 6366, 6045, 9077

Auto

39.7 13%

Teleop

160.9 52%

Endgame

106.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6615, 5572, 11304

/ 100 compat

Projected

360 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6615, 5572, 11304

Auto

70.5 20%

Teleop

209.8 58%

Endgame

79.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score307.6pts

Blue projected score360pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.4
Score range: 234–434
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 412.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

566.6Season APEX710.9

39.7Auto70.5

160.9Teleop209.8

106.8Endgame79

117Consistency154

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	29
teleop	234	153
endgame	97	12
foul	0	30
total	368	224

Result

Final score

368 – 224

Prediction missed · off by 98.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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