Qualification · Qualification 97

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

336.49 – 368.54

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

431 – 452

Prediction correct · off by 89 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 630.9 ±9.3

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 60.44Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 162.23Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 113.82Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 569.9 ±9.8

7565SESI SENAI ROBONÁTICOS

Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 142.63Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 184.03Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 41.88Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 589, 3197, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

336.5 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 589, 3197, 1477

Auto

79.4 23%

Teleop

176.6 52%

Endgame

86.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7565, 987, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.5 pts

~1.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 7565, 987, 8280

Auto

25.0 7%

Teleop

209.7 59%

Endgame

122.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score336.5pts

Blue projected score368.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.1
Score range: 262–443
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 883 vs event baseline 412.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

630.9Season APEX569.9

79.4Auto25

176.6Teleop209.7

86.3Endgame122.9

128Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	45
teleop	240	251
endgame	120	141
foul	15	15
total	431	452

Result

Final score

431 – 452

Prediction correct · off by 89 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.