Qualification · Qualification 95

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

460.37 – 580.14

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

394 – 592

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 745.6 ±13.9

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 241.56Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 79.23Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7421PrepaTec - OVERTURE

Season APEX 205.1Event APEX 139.58Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 800.3 ±9.3

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 120.95Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 221.74Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5193Pantheon

Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 237.45Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5987, 7539, 7421

/ 100 compat

Projected

460.4 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 5987, 7539, 7421

Auto

68.9 15%

Teleop

240.0 54%

Endgame

137.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3932, 1987, 5193

/ 100 compat

Projected

580.1 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 3932, 1987, 5193

Auto

113.3 20%

Teleop

322.2 57%

Endgame

126.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score460.4pts

Blue projected score580.1pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.8
Score range: 386–654
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 986 vs event baseline 412.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

745.6Season APEX800.3

68.9Auto113.3

240Teleop322.2

137Endgame126.1

147Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	148
teleop	167	323
endgame	132	106
foul	0	15
total	394	592

Result

Final score

394 – 592

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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