Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

395.88 – 483.61

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

440 – 582

Prediction correct · off by 71.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 684.4 ±9.3

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 184.33Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6773Max Throttle Mavericks

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 118.79Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2053Southern Tier Robotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 92.76Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 787.2 ±9.5

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 136.28Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 227.08Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1498The Polar Pilots

Season APEX 250.1Event APEX 120.25Rank 21Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10254, 6773, 2053

/ 100 compat

Projected

395.9 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 10254, 6773, 2053

Auto

65.5 17%

Teleop

230.9 59%

Endgame

97.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8595, 9023, 1498

/ 100 compat

Projected

483.6 pts

~2.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 8595, 9023, 1498

Auto

97.0 21%

Teleop

235.0 50%

Endgame

139.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.35 · Blue 2.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score395.9pts

Blue projected score483.6pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.7
Score range: 322–558
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1022 vs event baseline 410.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

684.4Season APEX787.2

65.5Auto97

230.9Teleop235

97.2Endgame139.9

126Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	128
teleop	215	316
endgame	126	138
foul	5	0
total	440	582

Result

Final score

440 – 582

Prediction correct · off by 71.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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