Qualification · Qualification 90
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
527.86 – 171.93
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
443 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 870.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 299.17Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 136.18Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 92.51Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 106.3Event APEX 17.74Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 62.5Rank 56Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.6Event APEX 91.69Rank 49Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 254, 59, 2357
80
/ 100 compatProjected
527.9 pts
~2.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 254, 59, 2357
Auto
137.1 26%
Teleop
270.4 52%
Endgame
116.2 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 21%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11167, 8725, 5166
39
/ 100 compatProjected
171.9 pts
~0.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 11167, 8725, 5166
Auto
82.7 49%
Teleop
61.8 36%
Endgame
25.3 15%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 21%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score527.9pts
Blue projected score171.9pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 355.9
- Score range
- 98–602
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
870.9Season APEX476.2
137.1Auto82.7
270.4Teleop61.8
116.2Endgame25.3
103Consistency183
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 148 | 15 |
| teleop | 181 | 100 |
| endgame | 109 | 6 |
| foul | 5 | 25 |
| total | 443 | 146 |
Result
Final score
443 – 146
Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.