Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
215.97 – 215.97
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
598 – 336
Prediction correct · off by 251 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 785.6 ±8.8
Season APEX 291.9Event APEX -Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX -Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 180.5Event APEX -Rank 62Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.9 ±8.7
Season APEX 106.3Event APEX -Rank 74Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.7Event APEX -Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX -Rank 52Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9068, 6369, 6366
50
/ 100 compatProjected
216 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 9068, 6369, 6366
Auto
64.8 30%
Teleop
108.0 50%
Endgame
43.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11167, 1024, 3197
50
/ 100 compatProjected
216 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 11167, 1024, 3197
Auto
64.8 30%
Teleop
108.0 50%
Endgame
43.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score216pts
Blue projected score216pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 138–294
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
785.6Season APEX564.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 72 | 96 |
| teleop | 330 | 151 |
| endgame | 186 | 89 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 598 | 336 |
Result
Final score
598 – 336
Prediction correct · off by 251 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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