Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.85 – 302.32

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

366 – 359

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 653.9 ±9.3

6417Fridolins

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 109.63Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 143.77Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 103.45Rank 20Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 633.2 ±10.4

4256Cyborg Cats

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 63.04Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6413Degrees of Freedom

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 114.29Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 124.99Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6417, 10349, 294

/ 100 compat

Projected

356.9 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6417, 10349, 294

Auto

63.4 18%

Teleop

226.4 63%

Endgame

68.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4256, 6413, 9068

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.3 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 4256, 6413, 9068

Auto

66.6 23%

Teleop

159.9 56%

Endgame

59.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score356.9pts

Blue projected score302.3pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.5
Score range: 227–432
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 725 vs event baseline 414.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

653.9Season APEX633.2

63.4Auto66.6

226.4Teleop159.9

68.7Endgame59.9

133Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	74
teleop	220	182
endgame	73	93
foul	35	10
total	366	359

Result

Final score

366 – 359

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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