Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

460.57 – 657.26

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

476 – 713

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 718.1 ±8.8

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 74.74Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 167.57Rank 40Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 218.26Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 878 ±12.7

5987Galaxia in memory of David Zohar

A+

Season APEX 327.4Event APEX 230.45Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 257.66Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 169.15Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7539, 5572, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

460.6 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 7539, 5572, 9023

Auto

60.7 14%

Teleop

234.0 53%

Endgame

150.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5987, 125, 1714

/ 100 compat

Projected

657.3 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 5987, 125, 1714

Auto

108.5 17%

Teleop

348.0 54%

Endgame

186.6 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score460.6pts

Blue projected score657.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -196.7
Score range: 386–732
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1189 vs event baseline 415.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

718.1Season APEX878

60.7Auto108.5

234Teleop348

150.8Endgame186.6

163Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	98
teleop	270	393
endgame	109	162
foul	0	60
total	476	713

Result

Final score

476 – 713

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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