Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

274.03 – 338.03

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

284 – 568

Prediction correct · off by 120 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 503 ±10.4

10922Amped

Season APEX 161.2Event APEX 33.46Rank 37Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 56.6Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 183.97Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 728.9 ±9.3

2053Southern Tier Robotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 54.88Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 62.23Rank 46Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 220.92Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10922, 9077, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

274 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 10922, 9077, 987

Auto

70.7 27%

Teleop

147.2 57%

Endgame

39.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2053, 302, 5460

/ 100 compat

Projected

338 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2053, 302, 5460

Auto

90.0 27%

Teleop

207.1 62%

Endgame

39.4 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score274pts

Blue projected score338pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64
Score range: 199–413
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 852 vs event baseline 415.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

503Season APEX728.9

70.7Auto90

147.2Teleop207.1

39.4Endgame39.4

133Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	126
teleop	142	340
endgame	106	102
foul	0	0
total	284	568

Result

Final score

284 – 568

Prediction correct · off by 120 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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