Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
221.57 – 221.57
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
443 – 264
Prediction correct · off by 131.9 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 671.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 208.1Event APEX -Rank 44Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 238.5Event APEX -Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 224.8Event APEX -Rank 55Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 760.5 ±10.7
Season APEX 308.7Event APEX -Rank 8Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 218.1Event APEX -Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.7Event APEX -Rank 48Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6497, 2724, 2637
50
/ 100 compatProjected
221.6 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 6497, 2724, 2637
Auto
66.5 30%
Teleop
110.8 50%
Endgame
44.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3128, 6773, 9066
50
/ 100 compatProjected
221.6 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 3128, 6773, 9066
Auto
66.5 30%
Teleop
110.8 50%
Endgame
44.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score221.6pts
Blue projected score221.6pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 142–302
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
671.4Season APEX760.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 62 | 82 |
| teleop | 246 | 130 |
| endgame | 135 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 443 | 264 |
Result
Final score
443 – 264
Prediction correct · off by 131.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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