Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

425.58 – 365.96

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

486 – 614

Prediction missed · off by 154.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624.3 ±8.7

6366RAM Rodz Robotics

Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 132.43Rank 62Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 123.64Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 169.51Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 732.1 ±11

8595This Is How We Play

Season APEX 263.2Event APEX 72.07Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 137Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

987HIGHROLLERS

Season APEX 204.2Event APEX 156.89Rank 50Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6366, 10349, 2724

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.6 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 6366, 10349, 2724

Auto

69.4 16%

Teleop

232.3 55%

Endgame

124.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8595, 2992, 987

/ 100 compat

Projected

366 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 8595, 2992, 987

Auto

66.6 18%

Teleop

202.5 55%

Endgame

99.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score425.6pts

Blue projected score366pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.6
Score range: 292–500
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1100 vs event baseline 413.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624.3Season APEX732.1

69.4Auto66.6

232.3Teleop202.5

124.1Endgame99.4

170Consistency221

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	64
teleop	308	302
endgame	107	203
foul	5	45
total	486	614

Result

Final score

486 – 614

Prediction missed · off by 154.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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