Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
220.21 – 220.21
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
348 – 571
Prediction missed · off by 239.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 669.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 246.2Event APEX -Rank 73Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 160.1Event APEX -Rank 31Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.8Event APEX -Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 748.3 ±8.8
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX -Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.9Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.5Event APEX -Rank 6Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11304, 2443, 571
50
/ 100 compatProjected
220.2 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 11304, 2443, 571
Auto
66.1 30%
Teleop
110.1 50%
Endgame
44.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9023, 11318, 7028
50
/ 100 compatProjected
220.2 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 9023, 11318, 7028
Auto
66.1 30%
Teleop
110.1 50%
Endgame
44.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score220.2pts
Blue projected score220.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample278alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 32%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 141–299
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
669.1Season APEX748.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 53 | 135 |
| teleop | 181 | 299 |
| endgame | 114 | 137 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 348 | 571 |
Result
Final score
348 – 571
Prediction missed · off by 239.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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