Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

226.35 – 236.55

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

425 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 181.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 716.3 ±9.8

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 107.82Rank 41Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 85.57Rank 8Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8725MistyPanther

Season APEX 206.3Event APEX 32.96Rank 56Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.9 ±9.8

9077The Crown

Season APEX 137.6Event APEX 97.1Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4256Cyborg Cats

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 71.99Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 67.46Rank 32Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3932, 3128, 8725

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.4 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 3932, 3128, 8725

Auto

86.7 40%

Teleop

115.9 53%

Endgame

14.6 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9077, 4256, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.5 pts

~1.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9077, 4256, 8280

Auto

53.9 23%

Teleop

146.5 62%

Endgame

35.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score226.4pts

Blue projected score236.5pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.2
Score range: 151–312
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 497 vs event baseline 416.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

716.3Season APEX467.9

86.7Auto53.9

115.9Teleop146.5

14.6Endgame35.4

125Consistency144

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	108	19
teleop	232	23
endgame	55	15
foul	30	15
total	425	72

Result

Final score

425 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 181.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.