Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

348.48 – 503.03

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

518 – 540

Prediction correct · off by 103.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 768.6 ±11.2

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 96Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 120.98Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

59RamTech

Season APEX 236.3Event APEX 131.5Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 814.4 ±10.4

9068The Chargers

A+

Season APEX 291.9Event APEX 108.42Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3181Pittsford Panthers

Season APEX 233Event APEX 121.05Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 273.56Rank 6Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 166, 6510, 59

/ 100 compat

Projected

348.5 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 166, 6510, 59

Auto

107.6 31%

Teleop

215.6 63%

Endgame

20.2 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9068, 3181, 7028

/ 100 compat

Projected

503 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 9068, 3181, 7028

Auto

91.7 18%

Teleop

285.3 57%

Endgame

124.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score348.5pts

Blue projected score503pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample278alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.5
Score range: 273–578
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1058 vs event baseline 416.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

768.6Season APEX814.4

107.6Auto91.7

215.6Teleop285.3

20.2Endgame124.3

185Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	146
teleop	279	292
endgame	147	97
foul	25	5
total	518	540

Result

Final score

518 – 540

Prediction correct · off by 103.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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